简单预测一下未来五年COE的走势（5号更新！）

千股涨停 · 发表于 10-7-2018 09:33:07|来自：希腊

这种马后炮还有啥得意的呢，2015-2019，跨度将近5年，15,16年咋没见你来吹呢。

龍泉 · 发表于 10-7-2018 10:34:00|来自：希腊

千股涨停发表于 10-7-2018 09:33
这种马后炮还有啥得意的呢，2015-2019，跨度将近5年，15,16年咋没见你来吹呢。 ...

什么叫“马后炮”，建议你google了解一下

晓林 · 发表于 10-7-2018 10:41:01|来自：希腊

楼主有花心思有努力。。但这种东西是人为控制的，所以高点时，未来一定会低点。比房价还容易控制。
新加坡不可能让coe一直在高点，会有民怨，太低对交通国家没好处，也不会一直低。

千股涨停 · 发表于 10-7-2018 11:40:08|来自：希腊

我也来马后炮一把。
车是消耗品，所以基本上没有人炒。08,09年几千块coe买了车的，不一定能承担或者想继续承担现在的车价，我的几个朋友就是车到期就不再继续拥车了，所以十年后的今天这部分coe就释放出来了。加上这几年经济一般般，要不是网约车前两年标了好多车，coe早就应该到现在的价格了。

再来预测一下，我觉得现在的价格基本上是到底了，再等下去，往上的可能性远大于往下。发生经济危机的话，那就是另外一回事了。

铜牌推广者 · 发表于 11-7-2018 23:04:19|来自：希腊

龍泉发表于 10-7-2018 08:19
5年后，再来看当年的预测，果然是正确的。
让我得意一下子哈哈

楼主确实厉害的，赞一个。

建议以后这种预测帖，最关键的1楼，不要编辑。

本来2013年发帖挺好，后来人家看到2018年7月编辑过，就难免会有疑问。然后你有口难辩。

不过这贴我作证，2013年你就大胆预测COE降到3万以下。

qiu0204 · 发表于 12-7-2018 11:10:22|来自：希腊

牛逼

龍泉 · 发表于 12-7-2018 11:55:51|来自：希腊

铜牌推广者发表于 11-7-2018 23:04
楼主确实厉害的，赞一个。

建议以后这种预测帖，最关键的1楼，不要编辑。

谢谢铜牌。
另外，今天上午刚出的新闻：
“COE配额接下来三个月增长12.5%”看来趋势大概率继续下行

SINGAPORE – Despite a zero growth policy for the car population, there will be more Certificates of Entitlement (COE) to bid for in the next three months, with the supply going up by 12.5 per cent.

In a media release on Thursday (July 12), the Land Transport Authority (LTA) announced that the COE quota for August to October will be 27,683 — an average of 9,225 a month.

That is a jump from the 24,614 COEs available from May to July, and the first time the quota has increased since the zero growth policy was applied in February.

Category A (Up to 1,600cc and maximum power output not exceeding 97kW) will see the biggest jump with a quota of 3,328 as compared to 2,867 from the previous period.

COEs for motorcycles will also see a spike from 1,053 in May to July to 1,639.

Among other things, the quota consists of replacement COEs from vehicles deregistered between April and June 2018. A total of 27,898 vehicles were deregistered during that period, including 11,080 small cars and 8,413 bigger cars.

In comparison, 24,133 vehicles were deregistered between January and March, including 9,546 small cars and 8,525 bigger cars.